Wilmington NC. Asphalt shingle, metal, repair, garage, deck, siding. New OO retainer Month 1 (free pilot).
Recommendation: GOPASS. Roofers / local services is on OpenAI's allowed vertical list.
4/4 ICP fit. Howard's stated ICP is homeowners 30-65, $100k+ income, credit 700+, "not price shoppers - wants quality, professionalism, certified contractors". This is the textbook ChatGPT-research-stage buyer. Roof replacement decisions are heavily researched and ChatGPT is already referring jobs (per Chris's onboarding call).
| Check | Result | Note |
|---|---|---|
| OAIQ SDK installed | FAIL | Not installed. |
| Page loads under 2.5s LCP | VERIFY | Thrive platform performance varies. Migration to Astro will fix this. Verify on staging before launch. |
| Form / phone CTA above the fold | PASS | "Call Now 910-540-7726" + "Get Your Quote" + scheduling CTA all visible above fold. |
| Trust signals + tracking | PASS | BBB A+, 5.0 rated, 59 verified reviews, 50+ five-star reviews, certifications stack visible. |
3/4 landing page score on current Thrive site. Once the Astro rebuild ships, OAIQ install becomes part of the migration and score moves to 4/4.
Inputs: $5,000 monthly budget, 8% form-fill rate, 30% close rate (Howard's stated rate is "higher than 30-40% on warm leads"), $12,000 average ticket (asphalt shingle roof replacement primary service), 30% gross margin.
| Scenario | CPC | Clicks | Leads | CPL | Customers | CAC | Gross profit | Net ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best case | $3.00 | 1,667 | 133 | $37.50 | 40 | $125 | $144,000 | 27.8x |
| Mid case | $4.00 | 1,250 | 100 | $50.00 | 30 | $167 | $108,000 | 20.6x |
| Worst case | $5.00 | 1,000 | 80 | $62.50 | 24 | $208 | $86,400 | 16.3x |
Break-even CPL: $1,389 (need ~1.4 customers/month to cover spend at $12k ticket, 30% margin). Worst-case CPL is $62.50 - over 22x lower than break-even. Roofing economics are dramatic compared to movers because ticket size is 4-6x higher.
Howard operates in Wilmington NC (coastal). Storm-response prompt cluster (Cluster C in roofers library) has very high CPC headroom ($4.50-$5.00) and very high intent. Specific angles for Howard:
Combine with the insurance-claim cluster (Cluster E) - both are textbook fits for Howard's positioning + certifications.
Reasoning: 4/4 ICP fit, 3/4 LP score (will be 4/4 after Astro migration), worst-case ROI of 16.3x driven by $12k ticket. Howard already has organic AI visibility, so combo (ads + organic) is the highest-leverage play. Stated lead volume problem (8/month minimum) is solvable inside one channel.
Conditions: bake OAIQ install into Astro migration; install before launch; watch worker's comp / certification status (internal) - if certifications drop, the ICP positioning collapses; storm-response geo expansion across the 12 surrounding towns once Wilmington proves out.